Interesting Times

We Live in Interesting Times.  The Stock Market’s Response to Changes in Commercial Banks’ Reserves.  Recent Experience.   The US stock market has moved since mid-2020 with changes in the level of commercial banks’ reserves with the Federal Reserve, as Chart...

Improving Economic Policy

World Economics • Vol. 24 • No. 2 • April–June 2023 Key Points The consensus model (CM) holds that there is only one equilibrium that needs to be maintained for economic stability. This follows, as a matter of logical necessity, from the model’s fundamental...

US – The High Risk of Another Financial Crisis.

A detailed explanation of the economics on which this paper is based is set out in The Economics of The Stock Market (“TEOTSM”) due to be published on 10th March this year by Oxford University Press. Footnotes below give the chapters and figures in TEOTSM which set...

Not Cyclical but Secular.

World Economics Vol. 23 • No. 1 • January–March 2022, 11th April 2022 Key Points • Classical economics assumed that interest rates would adjust, or could be adjusted, to ensure that there was no mismatch between private sector intentions to save and invest. Interest...